MoxSync

Deadly storms, tornadoes lay waste to large areas of South and Midwest

Walker Ashley:

Well, it's just not carbon, we looked at various sort of future projections of the greenhouse gas, right, emission scenarios. Both this intermediate and pessimistic warming reveal a dramatic increase in the number of supercells across the Mid-South, the Ozark Plateau, the lower Ohio Valley. So that area of — let's call it, northeast Texas, eastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and stretching over to Mississippi and Alabama, I take sometimes a doubling of the number of supercells. If you double the number of supercells, the number of unfortunately, the hail and tornadoes could also see a doubling.

Somebody uniquely, though, we actually see a decline into the areas of the western Great Plains. Some people like to call that colloquially sort of tornado alley, tornadoes, and supercells are still going to go through this area, but maybe at some slider, or maybe less rates as we move into the 21st Century.

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Chauncey Koziol

Update: 2024-08-29